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Segunda División · Uruguay
Plaza Colonia vs Tacuarembo prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Plaza Colonia host Tacuarembo in the Segunda División (Uruguay) on 24 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Plaza Colonia Win — Plaza Colonia to win. It was published at odds of 1.55, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Plaza Colonia had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 10. Tacuarembo had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Plaza Colonia's last 10 and 4 of Tacuarembo's last 10; 4 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Plaza Colonia averaged 1.27 goals scored and 0.87 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Tacuarembo averaged 0.85 scored and 1.46 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.28 goals from Plaza Colonia and 0.61 from Tacuarembo. From that it rates a home win at 52%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 17%, against 58%, 24% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Plaza Colonia (green) and Tacuarembo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plaza Colonia | WDLLW | 1.00 | 1.00 | 60% | 40% |
| Tacuarembo | LLLDD | 0.70 | 1.30 | 40% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 25 Jul 2026 · Tacuarembo 0–2 Plaza Colonia
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| Plaza Colonia Win | 58% | 1.55 |
| BTTS No | 56% | 1.64 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.15 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.