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Copa Uruguay · Uruguay
Plaza Colonia vs Juventud prediction and preview
7 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Plaza Colonia host Juventud in the Copa Uruguay (Uruguay) on 7 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Plaza Colonia 0–1 Juventud.
Going into the match, Plaza Colonia had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 11. Juventud had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Plaza Colonia's last 10 and 3 of Juventud's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Plaza Colonia averaged 1.31 goals scored and 0.85 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Juventud averaged 1.13 scored and 1.13 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.12 goals from Plaza Colonia and 1.22 from Juventud. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 37%, against 30%, 29% and 42% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Plaza Colonia (green) and Juventud (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plaza Colonia | LWDDL | 1.00 | 1.10 | 60% | 40% |
| Juventud | DDWWD | 1.30 | 0.70 | 30% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Double Chance X2 | 70% | 1.36 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 59% | 1.57 |
| Juventud Win | 42% | 2.20 |
| Under 1.5 Goals | 38% | 2.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.