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Copa Argentina · Argentina
Platense vs Estudiantes L.P. prediction and preview
2 Oct 2026, 00:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Platense host Estudiantes L.P. in the Copa Argentina (Argentina) on 2 Oct 2026, 00:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Platense 1–0 Estudiantes L.P..
Going into the match, Platense had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 11. Estudiantes L.P. had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Platense's last 10 and 5 of Estudiantes L.P.'s last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Platense averaged 0.80 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Estudiantes L.P. averaged 0.83 scored and 0.92 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.04 goals from Platense and 1.32 from Estudiantes L.P.. From that it rates a home win at 28%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 42%, against 25%, 32% and 43% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Platense (green) and Estudiantes L.P. (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Platense | LWLLD | 0.80 | 1.10 | 60% | 30% |
| Estudiantes L.P. | LLWWD | 1.20 | 1.10 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 12 Sep 2026 · Estudiantes L.P. 2–1 Platense
- 3 May 2026 · Platense 0–2 Estudiantes L.P.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance X2 | 74% | 1.25 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS No | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Estudiantes L.P. Win | 43% | 2.20 |
| Under 1.5 Goals | 41% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.