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Ykkönen · Finland
PKKU vs SalPa prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
PKKU host SalPa in the Ykkönen (Finland) on 10 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — PKKU to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.80, which the bookmaker market rated at about 54% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: PKKU 0–4 SalPa.
Going into the match, PKKU had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 15. SalPa had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of PKKU's last 10 and 7 of SalPa's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home PKKU averaged 1.92 goals scored and 1.58 conceded across 12 matches; away from home SalPa averaged 1.46 scored and 1.69 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.98 goals from PKKU and 1.89 from SalPa. From that it rates a home win at 40%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 37%, against 30%, 23% and 47% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between PKKU (green) and SalPa (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 25 Jul 2026 · SalPa 0–1 PKKU
- 2 May 2026 · PKKU 2–0 SalPa
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 65% | 1.44 |
| Under 11.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| SalPa HT & FT | 31% | 3.00 |
| 1-1 | 9% | 10.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.