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USL Championship · USA
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Hartford Athletic prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Pittsburgh Riverhounds host Hartford Athletic in the USL Championship (USA) on 10 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2–1 Hartford Athletic.
Going into the match, Pittsburgh Riverhounds had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 7. Hartford Athletic had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Pittsburgh Riverhounds's last 10 and 8 of Hartford Athletic's last 10; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Pittsburgh Riverhounds averaged 1.21 goals scored and 0.57 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Hartford Athletic averaged 1.23 scored and 1.00 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.93 goals from Pittsburgh Riverhounds and 0.74 from Hartford Athletic. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 37% and an away win at 27%, against 44%, 28% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 51%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Pittsburgh Riverhounds (green) and Hartford Athletic (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | LLWDD | 0.90 | 0.70 | 30% | 30% |
| Hartford Athletic | LDDWW | 1.80 | 1.10 | 80% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 21 Jun 2026 · Hartford Athletic 0–0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 58% | 1.60 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.67 |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds Win | 45% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.