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Damallsvenskan · Sweden
Piteå W vs Norrköping W prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Piteå W host Norrköping W in the Damallsvenskan (Sweden) on 3 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 77% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Piteå W 1–1 Norrköping W.
Going into the match, Piteå W had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 15. Norrköping W had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 24 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Piteå W's last 10 and 3 of Norrköping W's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Piteå W averaged 1.44 goals scored and 1.22 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Norrköping W averaged 1.22 scored and 1.44 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.82 goals from Piteå W and 1.02 from Norrköping W. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 20%, against 44%, 26% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Piteå W (green) and Norrköping W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piteå W | WLDLW | 1.70 | 1.50 | 40% | 50% |
| Norrköping W | DLWLL | 0.90 | 2.40 | 30% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 30 May 2026 · Norrköping W 1–2 Piteå W
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.