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Liga de Ascenso · Costa Rica
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC vs Aserri FC prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC host Aserri FC in the Liga de Ascenso (Costa Rica) on 13 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.85, which the bookmaker market rated at about 51% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC 2–2 Aserri FC.
Going into the match, Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 13. Aserri FC had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC's last 10 and 6 of Aserri FC's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Aserri FC averaged 1.20 scored and 1.10 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.62 goals from Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC and 1.34 from Aserri FC. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 31%, against 51%, 26% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC (green) and Aserri FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC | DDLWW | 1.80 | 1.30 | 80% | 70% |
| Aserri FC | DWLLW | 1.20 | 1.10 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 22 Aug 2026 · Aserri FC 1–1 Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.31 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.39 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.71 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC Win | 50% | 1.75 |
| Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC HT & FT | 34% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.