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Ekstraklasa · Poland
Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Łódź prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 12:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Piast Gliwice host Widzew Łódź in the Ekstraklasa (Poland) on 11 Oct 2026, 12:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Piast Gliwice 2–1 Widzew Łódź.
Going into the match, Piast Gliwice had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 17. Widzew Łódź had won 1, drawn 6 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Piast Gliwice's last 10 and 6 of Widzew Łódź's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Piast Gliwice averaged 1.77 goals scored and 1.85 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Widzew Łódź averaged 1.00 scored and 1.14 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.37 goals from Piast Gliwice and 1.17 from Widzew Łódź. From that it rates a home win at 40%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 31%, against 36%, 27% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Piast Gliwice (green) and Widzew Łódź (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piast Gliwice | LLWWW | 2.20 | 1.70 | 50% | 70% |
| Widzew Łódź | DDDDL | 1.30 | 1.40 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 23 May 2026 · Widzew Łódź 2–1 Piast Gliwice
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.