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Serie C - Girone B · Italy
Pianese vs Ravenna prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Pianese host Ravenna in the Serie C - Girone B (Italy) on 4 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Pianese 2–1 Ravenna.
Going into the match, Pianese had won 0, drawn 5 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 14. Ravenna had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Pianese's last 10 and 4 of Ravenna's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Pianese averaged 0.50 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Ravenna averaged 1.25 scored and 1.25 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.86 goals from Pianese and 1.21 from Ravenna. From that it rates a home win at 25%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 43%, against 23%, 27% and 50% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 84%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Pianese (green) and Ravenna (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 53% | 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.80 |
| Ravenna Win | 50% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.