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V.League 1 · Vietnam
Phu Dong vs Hoang Anh Gia Lai prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Phu Dong host Hoang Anh Gia Lai in the V.League 1 (Vietnam) on 18 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Phu Dong Win — Phu Dong to win. It was published at odds of 1.42, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Phu Dong 4–3 Hoang Anh Gia Lai.
Going into the match, Phu Dong had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 9. Hoang Anh Gia Lai had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Phu Dong's last 10 and 6 of Hoang Anh Gia Lai's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Phu Dong averaged 2.25 goals scored and 1.13 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Hoang Anh Gia Lai averaged 0.83 scored and 1.67 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.94 goals from Phu Dong and 1.30 from Hoang Anh Gia Lai. From that it rates a home win at 70%, a draw at 16% and an away win at 14%, against 64%, 21% and 15% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Phu Dong (green) and Hoang Anh Gia Lai (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phu Dong | DWWLW | 2.20 | 0.90 | 80% | 70% |
| Hoang Anh Gia Lai | WLLLL | 1.30 | 1.90 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Phu Dong Win | 66% | 1.42 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other V.League 1 matches that day
- Công An Nhân Dân vs Ha Noi · 18 Oct 2026, 12:15 UTC · V.League 1
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 - Bắc Ninh vs Bình Phước · 18 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · V.League 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals · FT 0–0