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Regionalliga - Nord · Germany
Phönix Lübeck vs Eintracht Norderstedt prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Phönix Lübeck host Eintracht Norderstedt in the Regionalliga - Nord (Germany) on 11 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Phönix Lübeck Win — Phönix Lübeck to win. It was published at odds of 1.42, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Phönix Lübeck 4–1 Eintracht Norderstedt.
Going into the match, Phönix Lübeck had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 29 and conceding 11. Eintracht Norderstedt had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 25 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Phönix Lübeck's last 10 and 7 of Eintracht Norderstedt's last 10; 8 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Phönix Lübeck averaged 2.89 goals scored and 1.11 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Eintracht Norderstedt averaged 1.88 scored and 1.75 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 3.42 goals from Phönix Lübeck and 1.24 from Eintracht Norderstedt. From that it rates a home win at 78%, a draw at 13% and an away win at 9%, against 64%, 19% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Phönix Lübeck (green) and Eintracht Norderstedt (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phönix Lübeck | LWWWW | 2.90 | 1.10 | 50% | 80% |
| Eintracht Norderstedt | WLDLD | 2.10 | 2.50 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.27 |
| Phönix Lübeck Win | 65% | 1.42 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.47 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 53% | 1.78 |
| Phönix Lübeck HT & FT | 49% | 1.91 |
| 2-1 | 12% | 8.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.