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Major League Soccer · USA
Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Philadelphia Union host Real Salt Lake in the Major League Soccer (USA) on 10 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Philadelphia Union Win — Philadelphia Union to win. It was published at odds of 1.42, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Philadelphia Union 2–1 Real Salt Lake.
Going into the match, Philadelphia Union had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 29 and conceding 13. Real Salt Lake had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 8 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Philadelphia Union's last 10 and 4 of Real Salt Lake's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Philadelphia Union averaged 2.00 goals scored and 0.92 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Real Salt Lake averaged 0.75 scored and 1.92 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.48 goals from Philadelphia Union and 1.25 from Real Salt Lake. From that it rates a home win at 64%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 17%, against 67%, 20% and 13% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Philadelphia Union (green) and Real Salt Lake (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Union | WWWWW | 2.90 | 1.30 | 60% | 70% |
| Real Salt Lake | WLLLL | 1.00 | 2.10 | 40% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| Philadelphia Union Win | 67% | 1.42 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.57 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 48% | 1.91 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.