Petrolul Ploiesti vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 14:15 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 1.5 GoalsOdds 1.30Market probability 71%Final score 1–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Petrolul Ploiesti host Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe in the Liga I (Romania) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Petrolul Ploiesti 1–1 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe.

Going into the match, Petrolul Ploiesti had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 15. Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 14 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Petrolul Ploiesti's last 10 and 4 of Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Petrolul Ploiesti averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.27 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe averaged 0.64 scored and 1.18 conceded across 11.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.27 goals from Petrolul Ploiesti and 0.71 from Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 20%, against 45%, 28% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Petrolul Ploiesti (green) and Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form63% – 38%

Attack71% – 29%

Defence56% – 44%

Head-to-head62% – 38%

Goals54% – 46%

Overall strength65% – 34%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Petrolul Ploiesti	LLWWD	1.50	1.50	50%	50%
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe	LDLWL	0.70	1.40	40%	30%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 1X	72%	1.30
Over 1.5 Goals	71%	1.30
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	66%	1.40
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	66%	1.40
Under 9.5 Corners	54%	1.73
Under 2.5 Goals	53%	1.80
BTTS Yes	51%	1.80
Over 2.5 Goals	47%	2.00

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.