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League One · Scotland
Peterhead vs Queen of the South prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Peterhead host Queen of the South in the League One (Scotland) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Peterhead 0–1 Queen of the South.
Going into the match, Peterhead had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 17. Queen of the South had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 23 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Peterhead's last 10 and 8 of Queen of the South's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Peterhead averaged 0.85 goals scored and 1.31 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Queen of the South averaged 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.66 goals from Peterhead and 0.90 from Queen of the South. From that it rates a home win at 54%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 19%, against 48%, 24% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Peterhead (green) and Queen of the South (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peterhead | LLWLL | 1.00 | 1.70 | 60% | 70% |
| Queen of the South | WWDLL | 1.60 | 2.30 | 80% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 Aug 2026 · Queen of the South 0–1 Peterhead
- 18 Apr 2026 · Peterhead 1–1 Queen of the South
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.