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League One · Scotland

Peterhead vs Alloa Athletic prediction and preview

31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Balmoor, Peterhead

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.40Market probability 68%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Peterhead host Alloa Athletic in the League One (Scotland) on 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Peterhead had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 13. Alloa Athletic had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 15 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Peterhead's last 10 and 5 of Alloa Athletic's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Peterhead averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.13 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Alloa Athletic averaged 0.92 scored and 1.23 conceded across 13.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.08 goals from Peterhead and 0.86 from Alloa Athletic. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 27%, against 42%, 27% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 87%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Peterhead (green) and Alloa Athletic (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form50% – 50%
Attack44% – 56%
Defence56% – 44%
Head-to-head71% – 29%
Goals50% – 50%
Overall strength50% – 49%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
PeterheadLWWLL1.001.3040%50%
Alloa AthleticLWDLL1.201.5050%60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
BTTS 1st Half - No78%1.20
Over 1.5 Goals75%1.25
Double Chance 1273%1.25
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals70%1.33
Under 3.5 Goals68%1.40
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals65%1.44
BTTS Yes57%1.67
Under 9.5 Corners54%1.73

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other League One matches that day