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Serie C - Girone B · Italy
Pescara vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937 prediction and preview
12 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Pescara host Guidonia Montecelio 1937 in the Serie C - Girone B (Italy) on 12 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Pescara 1–1 Guidonia Montecelio 1937.
Going into the match, Pescara had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 13. Guidonia Montecelio 1937 had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Pescara's last 10 and 7 of Guidonia Montecelio 1937's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Pescara averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Guidonia Montecelio 1937 averaged 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.19 goals from Pescara and 1.14 from Guidonia Montecelio 1937. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 33%, against 52%, 26% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Pescara (green) and Guidonia Montecelio 1937 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pescara | WLWDL | 1.10 | 1.30 | 50% | 30% |
| Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | WLDDD | 1.50 | 1.20 | 70% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 68% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.72 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.