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Perth Glory vs Adelaide United prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Perth Glory host Adelaide United in the Friendlies Clubs (International) on 3 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Perth Glory to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Perth Glory 1–3 Adelaide United.
Going into the match, Perth Glory had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 2. Adelaide United had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Perth Glory's last 5 and 4 of Adelaide United's last 10; 2 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Perth Glory averaged 2.33 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Adelaide United averaged 1.71 scored and 1.00 conceded across 7.
The 1X2 prices imply about 46% for Perth Glory, 24% for the draw and 30% for Adelaide United once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Perth Glory (green) and Adelaide United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perth Glory | WDWDW | 1.40 | 0.40 | 40% | 40% |
| Adelaide United | LWLLW | 1.70 | 1.20 | 40% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 27 Sep 2026 · Perth Glory 2–0 Adelaide United
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.23 |
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.55 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.52 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Perth Glory Win | 46% | 1.95 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.15 |
| Perth Glory HT & FT | 32% | 2.88 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.