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Liga 2 · Indonesia
Persiraja Banda Aceh vs Sumsel United prediction and preview
2 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Persiraja Banda Aceh host Sumsel United in the Liga 2 (Indonesia) on 2 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.85, which the bookmaker market rated at about 51% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Persiraja Banda Aceh 1–2 Sumsel United.
Going into the match, Persiraja Banda Aceh had won 0, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 7 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 13. Sumsel United had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 7, with 8 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Persiraja Banda Aceh's last 7 and 5 of Sumsel United's last 7; 4 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Persiraja Banda Aceh averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Sumsel United averaged 0.00 scored and 2.00 conceded across 2.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.40 goals from Persiraja Banda Aceh and 1.32 from Sumsel United. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 34%, against 53%, 26% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 51%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Persiraja Banda Aceh (green) and Sumsel United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Persiraja Banda Aceh | LLLDD | 1.29 | 1.86 | 86% | 57% |
| Sumsel United | LLDWL | 1.14 | 1.57 | 71% | 43% |
Averages over each side's last 7 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.48 |
| Persiraja Banda Aceh Win | 53% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.74 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Persiraja Banda Aceh HT & FT | 35% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.