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Liga 1 · Indonesia
Persik Kediri vs Persepam Madura Utd prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Persik Kediri host Persepam Madura Utd in the Liga 1 (Indonesia) on 9 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.59, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Persik Kediri 2–0 Persepam Madura Utd.
Going into the match, Persik Kediri had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 16. Persepam Madura Utd had won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Persik Kediri's last 10 and 6 of Persepam Madura Utd's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Persik Kediri averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.40 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Persepam Madura Utd averaged 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.42 goals from Persik Kediri and 1.09 from Persepam Madura Utd. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 28%, against 43%, 27% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Persik Kediri (green) and Persepam Madura Utd (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Persik Kediri | DWLLL | 1.20 | 1.60 | 40% | 50% |
| Persepam Madura Utd | WWWWL | 1.70 | 1.00 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 11 Apr 2026 · Persepam Madura Utd 2–1 Persik Kediri
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.21 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.47 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.59 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
| Persik Kediri Win | 43% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.