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Liga 2 · Indonesia
Persiba Balikpapan vs Tornado Pekanbaru prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Persiba Balikpapan host Tornado Pekanbaru in the Liga 2 (Indonesia) on 16 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Persiba Balikpapan 0–3 Tornado Pekanbaru.
Going into the match, Persiba Balikpapan had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 19. Tornado Pekanbaru had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 9, with 21 scored and 3 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Persiba Balikpapan's last 10 and 1 of Tornado Pekanbaru's last 9; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Persiba Balikpapan averaged 0.33 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Tornado Pekanbaru averaged 1.00 scored and 0.20 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.41 goals from Persiba Balikpapan and 1.79 from Tornado Pekanbaru. From that it rates a home win at 7%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 71%, against 12%, 19% and 69% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 38%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Persiba Balikpapan (green) and Tornado Pekanbaru (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Persiba Balikpapan | LLLLL | 0.90 | 1.90 | 50% | 50% |
| Tornado Pekanbaru | WWDDW | 2.33 | 0.33 | 11% | 44% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 12 Apr 2026 · Tornado Pekanbaru 3–0 Persiba Balikpapan
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.22 |
| Tornado Pekanbaru Win | 70% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.63 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.76 |
| Tornado Pekanbaru HT & FT | 50% | 1.83 |
| 0-3 | 10% | 9.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.