Persela Lamongan vs Persipura Jayapura prediction and preview

31 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Stadion Surajaya, Lamongan

The PunterPick prediction

Under 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.75Market probability 54%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Persela Lamongan host Persipura Jayapura in the Liga 2 (Indonesia) on 31 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.75, which the bookmaker market rated at about 54% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Persela Lamongan had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 11. Persipura Jayapura had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 25 scored and 11 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Persela Lamongan's last 10 and 6 of Persipura Jayapura's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Persela Lamongan averaged 3.17 goals scored and 0.83 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Persipura Jayapura averaged 4.00 scored and 1.25 conceded across 4.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.69 goals from Persela Lamongan and 1.02 from Persipura Jayapura. From that it rates a home win at 52%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 22%, against 44%, 26% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 49%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Persela Lamongan (green) and Persipura Jayapura (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form44% – 56%

Attack38% – 62%

Defence64% – 36%

Head-to-head50% – 50%

Goals44% – 56%

Overall strength49% – 50%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Persela Lamongan	DLDWW	2.10	1.10	40%	40%
Persipura Jayapura	WWLWD	2.50	1.10	60%	60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	72%	1.25
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	67%	1.35
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	66%	1.37
Under 2.5 Goals	54%	1.75
BTTS Yes	51%	1.78
Persela Lamongan Win	44%	2.05
2nd Half Higher Goals	44%	2.10
Draw	27%	3.40

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.