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FAW Championship · Wales
Penrhyncoch vs Gresford Athletic prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Penrhyncoch host Gresford Athletic in the FAW Championship (Wales) on 3 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.38, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Penrhyncoch 0–1 Gresford Athletic.
Going into the match, Penrhyncoch had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 8 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 29. Gresford Athletic had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 8 of their last 10, with 6 scored and 29 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Penrhyncoch's last 10 and 4 of Gresford Athletic's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Penrhyncoch averaged 1.83 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Gresford Athletic averaged 0.33 scored and 2.50 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.82 goals from Penrhyncoch and 1.37 from Gresford Athletic. From that it rates a home win at 21%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 49%, against 46%, 24% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 43%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Penrhyncoch (green) and Gresford Athletic (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penrhyncoch | LLLLL | 0.70 | 2.90 | 30% | 70% |
| Gresford Athletic | WDLLL | 0.60 | 2.90 | 40% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 11 Apr 2026 · Penrhyncoch 4–1 Gresford Athletic
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.30 |
| Double Chance 1X | 70% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 67% | 1.38 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 55% | 1.68 |
| Penrhyncoch Win | 46% | 1.95 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 38% | 2.50 |
| Penrhyncoch HT & FT | 31% | 3.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.