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1. Lig · Turkey
Pendikspor vs Vanspor FK prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Pendikspor host Vanspor FK in the 1. Lig (Turkey) on 13 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Pendikspor Win — Pendikspor to win. It was published at odds of 1.60, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Pendikspor 1–2 Vanspor FK.
Going into the match, Pendikspor had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 20. Vanspor FK had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 22 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Pendikspor's last 10 and 6 of Vanspor FK's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Pendikspor averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.14 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Vanspor FK averaged 1.86 scored and 2.14 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.91 goals from Pendikspor and 1.11 from Vanspor FK. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 21%, against 56%, 25% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Pendikspor (green) and Vanspor FK (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pendikspor | LDDDW | 1.40 | 2.00 | 80% | 50% |
| Vanspor FK | LLDDL | 0.90 | 2.20 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Pendikspor Win | 56% | 1.60 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.