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Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 · Spain
Peña Sport vs SD Logroñés prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Peña Sport host SD Logroñés in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 (Spain) on 3 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — SD Logroñés to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Peña Sport 4–0 SD Logroñés.
Going into the match, Peña Sport had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 16. SD Logroñés had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Peña Sport's last 10 and 4 of SD Logroñés's last 10; 6 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Peña Sport averaged 2.25 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 4 matches; away from home SD Logroñés averaged 1.25 scored and 1.25 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.67 goals from Peña Sport and 0.83 from SD Logroñés. From that it rates a home win at 56%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 17%, against 29%, 31% and 40% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 44%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Peña Sport (green) and SD Logroñés (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peña Sport | LWLDD | 1.40 | 1.60 | 80% | 60% |
| SD Logroñés | LDDLW | 1.00 | 1.20 | 40% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 71% | 1.28 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 61% | 1.52 |
| BTTS No | 55% | 1.69 |
| SD Logroñés Win | 40% | 2.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 39% | 2.38 |
| Draw | 31% | 2.90 |
| 0-0 | 14% | 6.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.