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Second League · Macedonia

Pelister vs Osogovo prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.60Market probability 59%Final score 3–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Pelister host Osogovo in the Second League (Macedonia) on 17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.60, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Pelister 3–0 Osogovo.

Going into the match, Pelister had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 6. Osogovo had won 0, drawn 5 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 14 conceded.

Both teams scored in 3 of Pelister's last 10 and 6 of Osogovo's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Pelister averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Osogovo averaged 2.25 scored and 1.25 conceded across 8.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.12 goals from Pelister and 0.59 from Osogovo. From that it rates a home win at 72%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 8%, against 76%, 16% and 7% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 51%.

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
PelisterDWWWW1.800.6030%30%
OsogovoDDLLL0.801.4060%40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Over 2.5 Goals59%1.60
Pelister 1st Half Win57%1.57
Pelister HT & FT56%1.67
3-014%6.50

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

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