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Eredivisie · Netherlands
PEC Zwolle vs Cambuur prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
PEC Zwolle host Cambuur in the Eredivisie (Netherlands) on 11 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: PEC Zwolle 0–1 Cambuur.
Going into the match, PEC Zwolle had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 28. Cambuur had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 24 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of PEC Zwolle's last 10 and 7 of Cambuur's last 10; 8 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home PEC Zwolle averaged 1.00 goals scored and 2.44 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Cambuur averaged 1.29 scored and 2.29 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.49 goals from PEC Zwolle and 1.70 from Cambuur. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 42%, against 49%, 25% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between PEC Zwolle (green) and Cambuur (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PEC Zwolle | LLDLW | 1.10 | 2.80 | 50% | 80% |
| Cambuur | DWDLL | 1.30 | 2.40 | 70% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| PEC Zwolle Win | 49% | 1.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.