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3. Lig - Group 1 · Turkey
Pazarspor vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Pazarspor host Tokat Bld Plevnespor in the 3. Lig - Group 1 (Turkey) on 18 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.85, which the bookmaker market rated at about 51% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Pazarspor 1–0 Tokat Bld Plevnespor.
Going into the match, Pazarspor had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 9 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 5. Tokat Bld Plevnespor had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Pazarspor's last 9 and 4 of Tokat Bld Plevnespor's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Pazarspor averaged 2.20 goals scored and 0.80 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Tokat Bld Plevnespor averaged 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.71 goals from Pazarspor and 0.75 from Tokat Bld Plevnespor. From that it rates a home win at 59%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 15%, against 52%, 25% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 45%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Pazarspor (green) and Tokat Bld Plevnespor (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pazarspor | WWWLW | 1.78 | 0.56 | 44% | 44% |
| Tokat Bld Plevnespor | LLWLD | 1.40 | 1.40 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.39 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.71 |
| Pazarspor Win | 52% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Double Chance X2 | 48% | 1.85 |
| Pazarspor HT & FT | 34% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.60 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other 3. Lig - Group 1 matches that day
- Karabük İdman Yurdu vs Silivrispor · 18 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · 3. Lig - Group 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals - Beykoz Anadolu vs Kartal Bulvarspor · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · 3. Lig - Group 1
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.25 · FT 1–1 - Küçükçekmece Sinopspor vs Düzcespor · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · 3. Lig - Group 1
Published pick: Küçükçekmece Sinopspor Win @ 1.67 · FT 2–1 - Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Amasyaspor 1968 · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · 3. Lig - Group 1
Published pick: Double Chance X2 · FT 1–1 - Zonguldak Kömürspor vs Beykoz İshaklıspor · 18 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · 3. Lig - Group 1
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 2–1