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Segunda División · Uruguay
Paysandu vs Rentistas prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Paysandu host Rentistas in the Segunda División (Uruguay) on 10 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Rentistas to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Paysandu 2–1 Rentistas.
Going into the match, Paysandu had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 11. Rentistas had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Paysandu's last 10 and 5 of Rentistas's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Paysandu averaged 1.09 goals scored and 1.18 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Rentistas averaged 1.38 scored and 0.92 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.29 goals from Paysandu and 1.12 from Rentistas. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 31%, against 27%, 28% and 45% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Paysandu (green) and Rentistas (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 4 Jul 2026 · Rentistas 1–2 Paysandu
- 11 Apr 2026 · Paysandu 0–1 Rentistas
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.42 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.82 |
| Rentistas Win | 45% | 2.00 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.08 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.