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Persian Gulf Pro League · Iran
Paykan vs Shams Azar Qazvin prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Paykan host Shams Azar Qazvin in the Persian Gulf Pro League (Iran) on 10 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Paykan 1–1 Shams Azar Qazvin.
Going into the match, Paykan had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 7 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Shams Azar Qazvin had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 7, with 6 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 1 of Paykan's last 7 and 3 of Shams Azar Qazvin's last 7; 1 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Paykan averaged 0.67 goals scored and 0.00 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Shams Azar Qazvin averaged 1.00 scored and 0.67 conceded across 3.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.93 goals from Paykan and 0.85 from Shams Azar Qazvin. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 36% and an away win at 30%, against 43%, 30% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Paykan (green) and Shams Azar Qazvin (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paykan | LWLDW | 0.71 | 0.86 | 14% | 14% |
| Shams Azar Qazvin | LLDWL | 0.86 | 1.29 | 43% | 29% |
Averages over each side's last 7 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 1X | 72% | 1.23 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.40 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.48 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 62% | 1.46 |
| BTTS No | 59% | 1.56 |
| Paykan Win | 43% | 2.11 |
| Under 1.5 Goals | 38% | 2.39 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.