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Ligue 2 · France
PAU vs Laval prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
PAU host Laval in the Ligue 2 (France) on 9 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: PAU 3–2 Laval.
Going into the match, PAU had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 16. Laval had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of PAU's last 10 and 8 of Laval's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home PAU averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.13 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Laval averaged 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.52 goals from PAU and 1.38 from Laval. From that it rates a home win at 40%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 33%, against 45%, 29% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between PAU (green) and Laval (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 72% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.