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Primera Nacional · Argentina
Patronato vs Club Atlético Güemes prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Patronato host Club Atlético Güemes in the Primera Nacional (Argentina) on 11 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Patronato Win — Patronato to win. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Patronato 2–0 Club Atlético Güemes.
Going into the match, Patronato had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 11. Club Atlético Güemes had won 0, drawn 4 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 3 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Patronato's last 10 and 3 of Club Atlético Güemes's last 10; 4 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Patronato averaged 1.31 goals scored and 0.85 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Club Atlético Güemes averaged 0.54 scored and 2.00 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.98 goals from Patronato and 0.51 from Club Atlético Güemes. From that it rates a home win at 72%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 8%, against 62%, 25% and 13% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Patronato (green) and Club Atlético Güemes (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patronato | LWDDD | 1.10 | 1.10 | 30% | 40% |
| Club Atlético Güemes | LLLLL | 0.30 | 1.50 | 30% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 25 May 2026 · Club Atlético Güemes 1–0 Patronato
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| BTTS No | 64% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| Patronato Win | 61% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Patronato HT & FT | 41% | 2.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.