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Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Patro Eisden vs KRC Genk II prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Patro Eisden host KRC Genk II in the Challenger Pro League (Belgium) on 11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Patro Eisden 1–0 KRC Genk II.
Going into the match, Patro Eisden had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 15. KRC Genk II had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Patro Eisden's last 10 and 6 of KRC Genk II's last 10; 7 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Patro Eisden averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.43 conceded across 7 matches; away from home KRC Genk II averaged 2.50 scored and 1.80 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.39 goals from Patro Eisden and 1.84 from KRC Genk II. From that it rates a home win at 28%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 47%, against 55%, 24% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Patro Eisden (green) and KRC Genk II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patro Eisden | WLLLL | 1.20 | 1.50 | 80% | 70% |
| KRC Genk II | DLWWW | 2.20 | 1.70 | 60% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Patro Eisden Win | 56% | 1.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.