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Superliga · Albania

Partizani vs Tirana prediction and preview

11 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 12Odds 1.30Market probability 70%Final score 1–3

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Partizani host Tirana in the Superliga (Albania) on 11 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Partizani 1–3 Tirana.

Going into the match, Partizani had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 15. Tirana had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 12 conceded.

Both teams scored in 8 of Partizani's last 10 and 6 of Tirana's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Partizani averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.86 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Tirana averaged 1.17 scored and 1.50 conceded across 6.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.36 goals from Partizani and 1.86 from Tirana. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 48%, against 37%, 30% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Partizani (green) and Tirana (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form44% – 56%
Attack47% – 53%
Defence47% – 53%
Head-to-head40% – 60%
Goals38% – 62%
Overall strength45% – 54%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
PartizaniWLLWL1.701.5080%80%
TiranaDDWLL1.601.2060%60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals71%1.28
Double Chance 1270%1.30
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals63%1.43
Under 2.5 Goals58%1.62
BTTS No51%1.81
Over 2.5 Goals42%2.25
Partizani Win38%2.40
1-012%7.50

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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