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Championship · Scotland
Partick vs Arbroath prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Partick host Arbroath in the Championship (Scotland) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Partick 3–0 Arbroath.
Going into the match, Partick had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 7. Arbroath had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Partick's last 10 and 3 of Arbroath's last 10; 2 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Partick averaged 1.70 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Arbroath averaged 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.69 goals from Partick and 0.40 from Arbroath. From that it rates a home win at 69%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 7%, against 64%, 23% and 13% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 84%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Partick (green) and Arbroath (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 25 Apr 2026 · Arbroath 0–0 Partick
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Partick Win | 64% | 1.40 |
| BTTS No | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.