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Esiliiga B · Estonia
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs JK Tabasalu prediction and preview
14 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 host JK Tabasalu in the Esiliiga B (Estonia) on 14 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Win — Parnu JK Vaprus U21 to win. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Parnu JK Vaprus U21 2–1 JK Tabasalu.
Going into the match, Parnu JK Vaprus U21 had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 37 and conceding 14. JK Tabasalu had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 28 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Parnu JK Vaprus U21's last 10 and 7 of JK Tabasalu's last 10; 8 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Parnu JK Vaprus U21 averaged 4.08 goals scored and 1.58 conceded across 12 matches; away from home JK Tabasalu averaged 1.86 scored and 2.86 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 3.86 goals from Parnu JK Vaprus U21 and 1.22 from JK Tabasalu. From that it rates a home win at 83%, a draw at 10% and an away win at 7%, against 62%, 16% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 83%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Parnu JK Vaprus U21 (green) and JK Tabasalu (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parnu JK Vaprus U21 | DWLLW | 3.70 | 1.40 | 50% | 80% |
| JK Tabasalu | LLDLW | 1.10 | 2.80 | 70% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 24 Aug 2026 · Parnu JK Vaprus U21 6–0 JK Tabasalu
- 5 Jul 2026 · JK Tabasalu 2–8 Parnu JK Vaprus U21
- 11 Apr 2026 · JK Tabasalu 1–2 Parnu JK Vaprus U21
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Win | 63% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Parnu JK Vaprus U21 HT & FT | 45% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.