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Serie A Women · Italy
Parma W vs Ternana W prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Parma W host Ternana W in the Serie A Women (Italy) on 3 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Parma W to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Parma W 1–2 Ternana W.
Going into the match, Parma W had won 0, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 8 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 14. Ternana W had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 8, with 5 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Parma W's last 8 and 3 of Ternana W's last 8; 3 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Parma W averaged 0.67 goals scored and 2.33 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Ternana W averaged 0.25 scored and 2.25 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.90 goals from Parma W and 1.01 from Ternana W. From that it rates a home win at 30%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 36%, against 47%, 27% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Parma W (green) and Ternana W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 8 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.43 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
| Parma W Win | 47% | 1.91 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.08 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.