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Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 · Spain
Parla Escuela vs Fuenlabrada prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Parla Escuela host Fuenlabrada in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (Spain) on 11 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Fuenlabrada to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Parla Escuela 2–2 Fuenlabrada.
Going into the match, Parla Escuela had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 8. Fuenlabrada had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 9, with 11 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Parla Escuela's last 5 and 5 of Fuenlabrada's last 9; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Parla Escuela averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 2 matches; away from home Fuenlabrada averaged 1.50 scored and 1.75 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.47 goals from Parla Escuela and 1.48 from Fuenlabrada. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 37%, against 26%, 29% and 45% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Parla Escuela (green) and Fuenlabrada (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parla Escuela | LDWDL | 1.40 | 1.60 | 40% | 60% |
| Fuenlabrada | WDWLD | 1.22 | 1.44 | 56% | 56% |
Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.31 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.39 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
| Fuenlabrada Win | 45% | 2.00 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.