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UEFA Champions League Women · International
Paris Saint Germain W vs OH Leuven W prediction and preview
1 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Paris Saint Germain W host OH Leuven W in the UEFA Champions League Women (International) on 1 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Paris Saint Germain W 5–0 OH Leuven W.
Going into the match, Paris Saint Germain W had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 4. OH Leuven W had won 6, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 26 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Paris Saint Germain W's last 10 and 6 of OH Leuven W's last 10; 0 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Paris Saint Germain W averaged 1.60 goals scored and 0.20 conceded across 5 matches; away from home OH Leuven W averaged 2.40 scored and 0.40 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.70 goals from Paris Saint Germain W and 0.72 from OH Leuven W. From that it rates a home win at 60%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 14%, against 79%, 14% and 6% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 44%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Paris Saint Germain W (green) and OH Leuven W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain W | DWWWD | 1.40 | 0.40 | 30% | 0% |
| OH Leuven W | DDWDW | 2.60 | 0.70 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Paris Saint Germain W HT & FT | 61% | 1.57 |
| Paris Saint Germain W 1st Half Win | 61% | 1.50 |
| BTTS No | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 46% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.