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1. Liga Promotion · Switzerland
Paradiso vs Young Boys II prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Paradiso host Young Boys II in the 1. Liga Promotion (Switzerland) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Paradiso 2–2 Young Boys II.
Going into the match, Paradiso had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 9. Young Boys II had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 26 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Paradiso's last 10 and 8 of Young Boys II's last 10; 5 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Paradiso averaged 1.60 goals scored and 0.90 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Young Boys II averaged 1.92 scored and 2.38 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.47 goals from Paradiso and 1.40 from Young Boys II. From that it rates a home win at 60%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 20%, against 55%, 22% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paradiso | DWWLW | 2.10 | 0.90 | 50% | 50% |
| Young Boys II | LLLDW | 1.90 | 2.60 | 80% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 78% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.30 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 1.40 |
| Paradiso Win | 56% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
| Paradiso HT & FT | 35% | 2.62 |
| 2-1 | 9% | 10.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other 1. Liga Promotion matches that day
- Grand-Saconnex vs Lugano II · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · 1. Liga Promotion
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.42