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1. Liga Promotion · Switzerland
Paradiso vs Lugano II prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Paradiso host Lugano II in the 1. Liga Promotion (Switzerland) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Paradiso Win — Paradiso to win. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Paradiso 1–0 Lugano II.
Going into the match, Paradiso had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 12. Lugano II had won 3, drawn 0 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 22 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Paradiso's last 10 and 6 of Lugano II's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Paradiso averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Lugano II averaged 1.11 scored and 2.44 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.16 goals from Paradiso and 1.24 from Lugano II. From that it rates a home win at 58%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 20%, against 57%, 22% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Paradiso (green) and Lugano II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 15 Apr 2026 · Paradiso 1–1 Lugano II
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.24 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.51 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Paradiso Win | 57% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.68 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 39% | 2.38 |
| Paradiso HT & FT | 39% | 2.38 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.