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NB III - Northwest · Hungary
Pápai Perutz vs Tatabánya prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Pápai Perutz host Tatabánya in the NB III - Northwest (Hungary) on 17 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.65, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Pápai Perutz 0–1 Tatabánya.
Going into the match, Pápai Perutz had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 20. Tatabánya had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 26 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Pápai Perutz's last 10 and 6 of Tatabánya's last 10; 6 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Pápai Perutz averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.18 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Tatabánya averaged 2.17 scored and 1.08 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.57 goals from Pápai Perutz and 2.00 from Tatabánya. From that it rates a home win at 9%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 70%, against 15%, 16% and 69% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 39%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pápai Perutz | LWLDL | 0.90 | 2.00 | 50% | 60% |
| Tatabánya | WWWWL | 2.60 | 1.10 | 60% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.21 |
| Tatabánya Win | 72% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.65 |
| Tatabánya 1st Half Win | 54% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 53% | 1.74 |
| Tatabánya HT & FT | 51% | 1.83 |
| 1-2 | 9% | 10.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other NB III - Northwest matches that day
- Dorogi FC vs Bicskei · 17 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · NB III - Northwest
Published pick: Dorogi FC Win @ 1.55 · FT 3–1 - Veszprém vs Király SZE · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · NB III - Northwest
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 1–3 - Zalaegerszegi TE II vs SC Sopron · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · NB III - Northwest
Published pick: Double Chance 1X · FT 3–1 - Komárom vs Sárisápi Bányász · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · NB III - Northwest
Published pick: Double Chance X2 - MTE 1904 vs Gyori ETO II · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · NB III - Northwest
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.62