PAOK II vs Apollon Pontou prediction and preview

19 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.60Market probability 58%Final score 2–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

PAOK II host Apollon Pontou in the Super League 2 (Greece) on 19 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.60, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: PAOK II 2–1 Apollon Pontou.

Going into the match, PAOK II had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 12. Apollon Pontou had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 8 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of PAOK II's last 10 and 3 of Apollon Pontou's last 10; 5 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home PAOK II averaged 1.50 goals scored and 0.83 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Apollon Pontou averaged 0.67 scored and 1.22 conceded across 9.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.04 goals from PAOK II and 0.91 from Apollon Pontou. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 30%, against 48%, 29% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between PAOK II (green) and Apollon Pontou (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form36% – 64%

Attack40% – 60%

Defence30% – 70%

Head-to-head85% – 15%

Goals80% – 20%

Overall strength54% – 45%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
PAOK II	LDLWL	1.10	1.20	60%	50%
Apollon Pontou	WDWLL	1.00	0.80	30%	20%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 1X	76%	1.22
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	65%	1.46
Under 2.5 Goals	58%	1.60
BTTS No	53%	1.73
PAOK II Win	48%	1.95
PAOK II HT & FT	31%	3.10
Draw	28%	3.25
1-0	16%	6.00

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.