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Super League 2 · Greece
Panthrakikos vs Panserraikos prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Panthrakikos host Panserraikos in the Super League 2 (Greece) on 3 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Panserraikos to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Panthrakikos 1–1 Panserraikos.
Going into the match, Panthrakikos had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 10. Panserraikos had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 22 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Panthrakikos's last 10 and 5 of Panserraikos's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Panthrakikos averaged 2.43 goals scored and 0.29 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Panserraikos averaged 0.86 scored and 2.86 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.53 goals from Panthrakikos and 0.79 from Panserraikos. From that it rates a home win at 54%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 18%, against 30%, 30% and 40% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 46%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Panthrakikos (green) and Panserraikos (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panthrakikos | LWWDL | 1.60 | 1.00 | 40% | 40% |
| Panserraikos | WLLWL | 1.00 | 2.20 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 19 Aug 2026 · Panserraikos 2–1 Panthrakikos
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 70% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 64% | 1.43 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.81 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
| Panserraikos Win | 40% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.