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Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 · Spain

Panadería Pulido vs Mensajero prediction and preview

21 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 1.5 GoalsNo priceFinal score 5–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Panadería Pulido host Mensajero in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (Spain) on 21 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.

Final score: Panadería Pulido 5–0 Mensajero.

Going into the match, Panadería Pulido had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 16. Mensajero had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 9 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of Panadería Pulido's last 10 and 4 of Mensajero's last 10; 6 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Panadería Pulido averaged 2.14 goals scored and 1.43 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Mensajero averaged 0.86 scored and 1.00 conceded across 7.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.56 goals from Panadería Pulido and 0.96 from Mensajero. From that it rates a home win at 71%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 11%. For the published pick itself the model gives 87%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Panadería Pulido (green) and Mensajero (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form56% – 44%
Attack70% – 30%
Defence35% – 65%
Head-to-head60% – 40%
Goals47% – 53%
Overall strength53% – 46%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Panadería PulidoWWWLD2.101.6070%60%
MensajeroDDWWL1.100.9040%30%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

More on this match

Other Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 matches that day