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Copa do Brasil U20 · Brazil
Palmeiras U20 vs Santos U20 prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Palmeiras U20 host Santos U20 in the Copa do Brasil U20 (Brazil) on 9 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Palmeiras U20 3–3 Santos U20.
Going into the match, Palmeiras U20 had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 28 and conceding 5. Santos U20 had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 26 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Palmeiras U20's last 10 and 3 of Santos U20's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Palmeiras U20 averaged 2.79 goals scored and 1.05 conceded across 19 matches; away from home Santos U20 averaged 1.59 scored and 0.88 conceded across 17.
Our team-strength model expects about 3.03 goals from Palmeiras U20 and 0.96 from Santos U20. From that it rates a home win at 78%, a draw at 14% and an away win at 8%, against 55%, 24% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Palmeiras U20 (green) and Santos U20 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras U20 | WDWWW | 2.80 | 0.50 | 30% | 60% |
| Santos U20 | WWWDW | 2.60 | 0.60 | 30% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 12 Jun 2026 · Palmeiras U20 2–2 Santos U20
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.23 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.24 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.56 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.57 |
| Palmeiras U20 Win | 55% | 1.62 |
| Palmeiras U20 HT & FT | 37% | 2.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.