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Super League · Uzbekistan
Pakhtakor vs Bunyodkor prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Pakhtakor host Bunyodkor in the Super League (Uzbekistan) on 9 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Pakhtakor 3–1 Bunyodkor.
Going into the match, Pakhtakor had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 8. Bunyodkor had won 1, drawn 0 and lost 9 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Pakhtakor's last 10 and 4 of Bunyodkor's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Pakhtakor averaged 2.11 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Bunyodkor averaged 1.17 scored and 2.50 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.21 goals from Pakhtakor and 0.57 from Bunyodkor. From that it rates a home win at 75%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 7%, against 75%, 16% and 10% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 53%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Pakhtakor (green) and Bunyodkor (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 26 Jul 2026 · Bunyodkor 0–1 Pakhtakor
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Pakhtakor Win | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Pakhtakor 1st Half Win | 57% | 1.57 |
| Pakhtakor HT & FT | 56% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 55% | 1.69 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.75 |
| 3-0 | 12% | 7.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.