Home › League stats › Meistriliiga › Paide vs Tammeka
Meistriliiga · Estonia
Paide vs Tammeka prediction and preview
14 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Paide host Tammeka in the Meistriliiga (Estonia) on 14 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Paide 2–1 Tammeka.
Going into the match, Paide had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 13. Tammeka had won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Paide's last 10 and 5 of Tammeka's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Paide averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.28 conceded across 18 matches; away from home Tammeka averaged 1.23 scored and 1.69 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.43 goals from Paide and 1.23 from Tammeka. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 31%, against 54%, 23% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 50%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Paide (green) and Tammeka (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 9 Sep 2026 · Tammeka 0–2 Paide
- 1 May 2026 · Paide 0–1 Tammeka
- 12 Apr 2026 · Tammeka 1–4 Paide
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 60% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Paide Win | 55% | 1.65 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 40% | 2.38 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.