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Liga MX Femenil · Mexico
Pachuca W vs Toluca W prediction and preview
5 Oct 2026, 01:06 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Pachuca W host Toluca W in the Liga MX Femenil (Mexico) on 5 Oct 2026, 01:06 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Pachuca W 1–2 Toluca W.
Going into the match, Pachuca W had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 13. Toluca W had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 26 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Pachuca W's last 10 and 6 of Toluca W's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Pachuca W averaged 2.33 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Toluca W averaged 2.43 scored and 1.86 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.88 goals from Pachuca W and 1.47 from Toluca W. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 29%, against 47%, 25% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Pachuca W (green) and Toluca W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.33 |
| BTTS Yes | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| Pachuca W Win | 47% | 1.90 |
| Pachuca W HT & FT | 36% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.60 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.