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Liga MX U21 · Mexico
Pachuca U21 vs Necaxa U21 prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Pachuca U21 host Necaxa U21 in the Liga MX U21 (Mexico) on 11 Oct 2026, 15:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Pachuca U21 0–1 Necaxa U21.
Going into the match, Pachuca U21 had won 2, drawn 6 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 10. Necaxa U21 had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Pachuca U21's last 10 and 4 of Necaxa U21's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Pachuca U21 averaged 1.71 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Necaxa U21 averaged 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.25 goals from Pachuca U21 and 0.89 from Necaxa U21. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 25%, against 46%, 26% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 43%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Pachuca U21 (green) and Necaxa U21 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pachuca U21 | LWDDD | 0.90 | 1.00 | 50% | 30% |
| Necaxa U21 | WLLDW | 0.90 | 1.40 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.23 |
| Double Chance 1X | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.48 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.80 |
| Pachuca U21 Win | 48% | 1.95 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.