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First Amateur Division · Belgium
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II vs Heist prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II host Heist in the First Amateur Division (Belgium) on 11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Oud-Heverlee Leuven II 0–0 Heist.
Going into the match, Oud-Heverlee Leuven II had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 24 and conceding 17. Heist had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Oud-Heverlee Leuven II's last 10 and 7 of Heist's last 10; 9 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Oud-Heverlee Leuven II averaged 2.60 goals scored and 1.40 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Heist averaged 1.50 scored and 2.83 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.75 goals from Oud-Heverlee Leuven II and 1.24 from Heist. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 26%, against 39%, 23% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Oud-Heverlee Leuven II (green) and Heist (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oud-Heverlee Leuven II | LWWWW | 2.40 | 1.70 | 80% | 90% |
| Heist | WLDLD | 1.30 | 1.60 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 69% | 1.34 |
| BTTS Yes | 68% | 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| Double Chance 1X | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 53% | 1.78 |
| Oud-Heverlee Leuven II Win | 38% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.